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Gregory Hills

NSW 2557LGA: Camden Council

Investment Score

75

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Gregory Hills is a rapidly growing master-planned community in southwestern Sydney's Macarthur region, established in the early 2000s within Camden LGA. This modern suburb attracts predominantly young families seeking spacious homes and contemporary amenities, featuring the Gregory Hills Town Centre as its commercial hub alongside quality parks and recreational facilities. The area consists primarily of modern houses built from the 2000s onwards, with strong demand from first-home buyers and upgraders seeking larger properties than inner Sydney alternatives. While offering excellent family-oriented amenities and modern infrastructure including NBN connectivity, the suburb remains car-dependent with limited public transport options, relying on bus connections to Camden and Campbelltown hubs. Gregory Hills represents solid investment potential with its continuing residential development, strong community appeal, and strategic location within the growing Macarthur corridor, though future growth depends on planned transport improvements and broader regional development initiatives.

Strengths

  • •Modern master-planned community with quality infrastructure
  • •Strong appeal to young families and first-home buyers
  • •Gregory Hills Town Centre providing convenient retail and dining
  • •Multiple parks and recreational facilities for active lifestyles

Opportunities

  • •Planned transport improvements for Macarthur region
  • •Continuing residential development expanding the community
  • •Growing population supporting local business expansion
  • •Potential for increased property values as area matures

Considerations

  • •Limited public transport connectivity requiring car dependency
  • •Relatively isolated from Sydney CBD and major employment centres
  • •Limited established housing stock and mature streetscapes
  • •Dependence on future transport infrastructure improvements

A decision, not just a search · Gregory Hills

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$1.15M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$650K

+6.2% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$850K

Rent (House)

$850/wk

Rent (Unit)

$560/wk

Days on Market

32

Vacancy Rate

2.1%

Auction Clearance

72.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.0%+35.0%
Unit+6.2%+18.5%+28.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.8%

Unit Yield

4.5%

Townhouse Yield

4.1%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score75/100
Growth Potential78/100
Cashflow Score68/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index52/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Gregory Hills at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$46,280
First Home Buyer
$46,280
Foreign buyer surcharge
$92,000

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$44,200

$850/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$59,800
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$28,750
Net rental position
-$44,350

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$17,297

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$27,053/yr

~$520/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$690,000

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Below threshold

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $10,740

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 7.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$1.61M
Capital gain
$410,904
Assessable gain
$252,948
CGT payable
$98,650

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.26M
Capital gain
$1.06M
Assessable gain
$723,524
CGT payable
$282,174

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$46,280

After-tax yield

2.32%

Weekly holding cost

$520/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$282,174

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

8,500

Median Age

34

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

48.0%

University Educated

38.0%

Unemployment

4.2%

Born Overseas

32.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 85%Units: 8%Townhouses: 7%Total: 3,200

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability45/100
Public Transport4/10
Schools Rating7/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

15

Parks

8

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

58.0 km

Nearest Station: Campbelltown Station

Family-oriented lifestyle with modern amenities, parks, recreational facilities, and community events in a contemporary suburban setting with easy access to Camden town centre.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 11 April 2026.

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