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Gymea Bay

NSW 2227LGA: Sutherland Shire

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Gymea Bay is a premium waterfront suburb in the Sutherland Shire, located 26km south of Sydney CBD. This small, established residential enclave is renowned for its stunning Georges River frontage, featuring the popular Gymea Bay Baths tidal pool and marina facilities. The suburb attracts affluent families and retirees seeking a lifestyle location with water access while maintaining connectivity to Sydney via Gymea train station. Property values are supported by limited housing supply, waterfront proximity, and strong community amenities. The area offers a unique blend of natural beauty and urban convenience, with established homes and newer developments commanding premium prices due to water views and lifestyle appeal. Strong infrastructure including NBN connectivity and excellent transport links via the T4 Eastern Suburbs line make it attractive to professionals. The community enjoys access to sailing clubs, waterfront reserves, and the nearby Gymea shopping village, creating a desirable lifestyle destination within the Sutherland Shire.

Strengths

  • •Premium waterfront location with Georges River frontage
  • •Direct train access to Sydney CBD via T4 line
  • •Established community with strong lifestyle amenities
  • •Limited housing supply supporting property values

Opportunities

  • •Potential for luxury residential redevelopment
  • •Growing demand for waterfront lifestyle properties
  • •Infrastructure improvements enhancing connectivity
  • •Rental investment potential from professional tenants

Considerations

  • •Higher property prices limiting affordability
  • •Limited commercial and employment opportunities locally
  • •Potential flood risk in low-lying waterfront areas
  • •Traffic congestion during peak periods

A decision, not just a search · Gymea Bay

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$1.65M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$850K

+6.8% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$1.20M

Rent (House)

$1,050/wk

Rent (Unit)

$670/wk

Days on Market

32

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

78.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.0%+45.0%
Unit+6.8%+18.5%+38.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.2%

Unit Yield

4.1%

Townhouse Yield

3.6%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score68/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index45/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.10

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Gymea Bay at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$73,140
First Home Buyer
$73,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$132,000

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$54,600

$1050/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$85,800
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$41,250
Net rental position
-$72,450

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$28,256

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$44,194/yr

~$850/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$990,000

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Below threshold

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $15,540

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 9.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.54M
Capital gain
$807,340
Assessable gain
$579,821
CGT payable
$226,130

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.91M
Capital gain
$2.17M
Assessable gain
$1.69M
CGT payable
$659,032

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$73,140

After-tax yield

1.95%

Weekly holding cost

$850/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$659,032

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

1,850

Median Age

47

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

32.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 82%Units: 15%Townhouses: 3%Total: 785

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability65/100
Public Transport8/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

12

Parks

8

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

26.0 km

Nearest Station: Gymea Station

Waterfront living with sailing, swimming at tidal baths, marina access, parkland walks along Georges River, and close proximity to quality shopping and dining in nearby Gymea village.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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