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Hay

NSW 2711LGA: Hay Shire

Investment Score

68

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Hay is a rural town in the Riverina region of New South Wales, serving as the administrative center of Hay Shire Council. Located approximately 729km southwest of Sydney at the intersection of Sturt Highway and Cobb Highway, Hay maintains its identity as a strong agricultural and pastoral community. The town offers essential services including Hay District Hospital, Hay War Memorial High School, and Hay Public School, alongside recreational facilities like golf and bowling clubs. The property market is characterized by affordable housing with detached houses on larger blocks dominating the landscape. With a stable population typical of rural NSW towns and a median age higher than the state average, Hay attracts residents seeking a quieter lifestyle connected to agriculture and rural industries. The town benefits from rail connectivity on the Melbourne-Sydney line and NBN broadband infrastructure, though public transport within town is limited. Annual events including the Hay Show and agricultural field days strengthen community bonds and celebrate the region's farming heritage.

Strengths

  • •Affordable housing market with larger block sizes
  • •Strategic location on major highway intersection
  • •Strong agricultural and pastoral economy
  • •Essential services including hospital and schools

Opportunities

  • •Agricultural technology and innovation hub potential
  • •Tourism development along heritage railway line
  • •Remote work opportunities with NBN connectivity
  • •Value-add agricultural processing facilities

Considerations

  • •Limited employment opportunities outside agriculture
  • •Aging population and demographic decline
  • •Minimal public transport within town
  • •Limited rental stock availability

A decision, not just a search · Hay

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$185K

+2.8% 1yr

Median Unit

$125K

+1.5% 1yr

Rent (House)

$185/wk

Rent (Unit)

$165/wk

Days on Market

125

Vacancy Rate

2.8%

Auction Clearance

45.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+2.8%+8.5%+15.2%
Unit+1.5%+6.2%+12.8%

Rental Yields

House Yield

5.2%

Unit Yield

6.8%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score68/100
Growth Potential62/100
Cashflow Score75/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index85/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.20

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Hay at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$4,645
First Home Buyer
Exempt

Save $4,645

Foreign buyer surcharge
$14,800

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$9,620

$185/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$9,620
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$4,625
Net rental position
-$4,625

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$1,804

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$2,821/yr

~$54/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$111,000

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Below threshold

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $1,476

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 3.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$214,882
Capital gain
$24,312
Assessable gain
$0
CGT payable
$0

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$249,592
Capital gain
$59,022
Assessable gain
$5,646
CGT payable
$2,202

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$4,645

After-tax yield

3.17%

Weekly holding cost

$54/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$2,202

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

2,847

Median Age

48

Median Income

$52K

per annum

Family Households

62.0%

Professionals

22.0%

University Educated

18.0%

Unemployment

4.2%

Born Overseas

15.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 85%Units: 12%Townhouses: 3%Total: 1,285

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability35/100
Public Transport2/10
Schools Rating6/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly7/10
Cafes & Restaurants

8

Parks

4

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

729.0 km

Nearest Station: Hay Railway Station

Quiet rural lifestyle with outdoor recreation, community events, and connection to agricultural heritage. Golf, bowling, and sporting facilities provide recreation options.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 11 April 2026.

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