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Kellyville

NSW 2155LGA: The Hills Shire

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Kellyville, NSW 2155 is a thriving family-oriented suburb in Sydney's Hills District that has transformed into one of the region's most sought-after residential areas. With a population of 12,500 and median age of 34, it attracts young professionals and growing families seeking quality lifestyle in a well-connected location. The suburb benefits from excellent infrastructure including the Sydney Metro Northwest line via Kellyville Station (opened 2019), providing direct CBD access in under 45 minutes. Property values have shown strong growth with median house prices at $1.45M, supported by high-quality schools, modern amenities, and ongoing development. The community is culturally diverse with 45% born overseas, predominantly professionals (52%) with university education (48%). Key amenities include Kellyville Ridge Shopping Centre, Bernie Mullane Sports Complex, and proximity to Rouse Hill Town Centre. The suburb maintains a family-friendly character with 68% family households and strong safety ratings, while offering excellent investment potential through consistent capital growth and low vacancy rates.

Strengths

  • •Direct rail connection to Sydney CBD via Metro Northwest
  • •High-quality public and private schools with 8/10 rating
  • •Strong family demographic with 68% family households
  • •Excellent capital growth of 45.8% over 5 years

Opportunities

  • •Continued population growth driving housing demand
  • •Infrastructure improvements enhancing connectivity
  • •New housing developments expanding supply
  • •Growing commercial precincts creating local employment

Considerations

  • •High property prices limiting affordability for first-home buyers
  • •Limited public transport options beyond train line
  • •Moderate walkability score requiring car dependency
  • •Relatively high distance to beaches (45km)

A decision, not just a search · Kellyville

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$1.45M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$680K

+6.2% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$950K

Rent (House)

$900/wk

Rent (Unit)

$540/wk

Days on Market

28

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

78.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+28.2%+45.8%
Unit+6.2%+22.5%+38.4%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.2%

Unit Yield

4.1%

Townhouse Yield

3.5%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score65/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index55/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Kellyville at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$62,140
First Home Buyer
$62,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$116,000

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$46,800

$900/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$75,400
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$36,250
Net rental position
-$64,850

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$25,292

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$39,558/yr

~$761/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$870,000

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Below threshold

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $13,620

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 9.2% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.25M
Capital gain
$728,037
Assessable gain
$528,377
CGT payable
$206,067

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.48M
Capital gain
$1.96M
Assessable gain
$1.54M
CGT payable
$599,996

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$62,140

After-tax yield

1.95%

Weekly holding cost

$761/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$599,996

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

12,500

Median Age

34

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

45.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 75%Units: 15%Townhouses: 10%Total: 4,200

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability65/100
Public Transport9/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

25

Parks

8

Hospitals

2

Distance to CBD

38.0 km

Nearest Station: Kellyville Station

Suburban family lifestyle with access to quality schools, parks, shopping centres, and recreational facilities

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 11 April 2026.

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