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Kempsey

NSW 2440LGA: Kempsey Shire

Investment Score

72

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Kempsey is a regional town on NSW's Mid North Coast, serving as the administrative center of Kempsey Shire Council approximately 430km north of Sydney. The town offers an affordable coastal lifestyle with access to pristine beaches including South West Rocks and Hat Head National Park, alongside the recreational opportunities of the Macleay River. With a significant Aboriginal population and the Dunghutti people as traditional custodians, Kempsey maintains strong cultural heritage. The property market remains highly affordable compared to major NSW cities, experiencing moderate growth following regional trends post-COVID. The community benefits from essential services including hospitals, schools, and shopping centers, with a strong events calendar featuring agricultural shows and cultural festivals. While transport connectivity relies primarily on the Pacific Highway and limited public transport options, the town's proximity to beaches and rivers positively influences lifestyle appeal and property values. The area experiences population fluctuations due to seasonal work and tourism, with a median age typically higher than the NSW average due to retiree migration to coastal areas.

Strengths

  • •Highly affordable property market compared to major NSW cities
  • •Excellent access to beaches and coastal recreation including South West Rocks
  • •Strong cultural heritage with significant Aboriginal community
  • •Essential services including hospital, schools, and shopping facilities

Opportunities

  • •Growing retiree migration to coastal regional areas
  • •Potential for eco-tourism development near national parks
  • •Infrastructure improvements and highway upgrades
  • •Increasing demand for affordable coastal lifestyle properties

Considerations

  • •Limited public transport options and commercial flight services
  • •Population fluctuations due to seasonal work affecting market stability
  • •Distance from major employment centers and Sydney CBD
  • •Variable NBN and mobile coverage in rural areas

A decision, not just a search · Kempsey

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$385K

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$285K

+7.8% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$335K

Rent (House)

$350/wk

Rent (Unit)

$295/wk

Days on Market

45

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

65.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+18.2%+28.7%
Unit+7.8%+16.5%+25.3%

Rental Yields

House Yield

4.8%

Unit Yield

5.4%

Townhouse Yield

5.1%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score72/100
Growth Potential68/100
Cashflow Score78/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index85/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.40

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Kempsey at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$11,855
First Home Buyer
Exempt

Save $11,855

Foreign buyer surcharge
$30,800

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$18,200

$350/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$20,020
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$9,625
Net rental position
-$11,445

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$4,464

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$6,981/yr

~$134/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$231,000

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Below threshold

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $3,396

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 5.7% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$508,929
Capital gain
$110,149
Assessable gain
$57,746
CGT payable
$22,521

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$672,750
Capital gain
$273,970
Assessable gain
$162,278
CGT payable
$63,288

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$11,855

After-tax yield

2.93%

Weekly holding cost

$134/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$63,288

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

12,500

Median Age

44

Median Income

$48K

per annum

Family Households

58.0%

Professionals

28.0%

University Educated

18.0%

Unemployment

7.2%

Born Overseas

12.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 72%Units: 18%Townhouses: 10%Total: 5,800

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability45/100
Public Transport3/10
Schools Rating6/10
Safety7/10
Family Friendly8/10
Cafes & Restaurants

25

Parks

8

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

430.0 km

Nearest Station: No passenger rail service

Coastal regional lifestyle with river recreation, beach access, and community events in a peaceful rural setting with essential services and amenities.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 11 April 2026.

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