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Manly

NSW 2095LGA: Northern Beaches Council

Investment Score

72

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Manly is one of Sydney's most prestigious beachside suburbs, located on the Northern Beaches peninsula approximately 17km northeast of the CBD. Famous for its stunning ocean and harbour beaches, the Corso pedestrian mall, and ferry connections to Circular Quay, Manly epitomizes the Australian beach lifestyle. The suburb attracts a diverse mix of professionals, families, and lifestyle seekers drawn to its unique combination of natural beauty, recreational opportunities, and reasonable CBD accessibility. With median house prices exceeding $4 million, Manly sits firmly in the luxury market segment, supported by strong fundamentals including low vacancy rates and consistent demand. The area's character blends beachside relaxation with urban sophistication, featuring excellent dining, shopping, and entertainment options. Manly's tourism appeal adds vibrancy but also creates seasonal fluctuations in the rental market. The suburb's established infrastructure, protected natural environment, and iconic status ensure its continued desirability among affluent buyers and renters seeking premium coastal living.

Strengths

  • •Iconic beachside location with ocean and harbour frontage
  • •Direct ferry connection to Sydney CBD providing unique transport option
  • •Strong tourism and hospitality sector creating economic diversity
  • •Excellent recreational amenities including beaches, walks, and water sports

Opportunities

  • •Short-term rental potential capitalizing on tourism demand
  • •Luxury renovation projects given high property values
  • •Commercial property investments in hospitality sector
  • •Long-term capital growth in premium beachside market

Considerations

  • •Extremely high property prices limiting affordability and buyer pool
  • •Low rental yields making cash flow challenging for investors
  • •Seasonal tourism fluctuations affecting rental market stability
  • •Limited development opportunities due to geographical constraints

A decision, not just a search · Manly

Does a promising suburb make this the right property decision?

No. Suburb data can help you shortlist, but it cannot establish the value, condition or suitability of a particular property. Compare buying, retaining your current property and waiting against your household cash flow, finance conditions and intended holding period.

Questions that could change the answer

  • What would make this location unsuitable even if its median price rises?
  • Could you meet the costs if income falls, the property is vacant or repairs are needed?
  • Are you comparing a specific property with genuinely comparable sales—or only an area average?

Evidence to obtain—not yet verified here

  • Comparable property evidence with transaction dates and relevant differences.
  • Current loan terms, household commitments and a realistic cash-flow buffer.
  • Property inspections, contract advice and ownership/tax advice where relevant.

Other options: Shortlist another property, retain what you own, reduce the budget or delay. Growth expectations alone are not a reason to proceed.

Next action: Ask a Property Advisor to connect the property evidence with your priorities, and identify the finance, tax or legal professional required for unresolved questions.

When to revisit: Revisit if the price, lending terms, inspection findings or household circumstances change.

General decision guidance—not a property assessment, personal recommendation or verified client result. Dates on surrounding market content apply to that content, not to checks on your property.

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Property Market

Median House

$4.10M

+7.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$1.28M

+5.5% 1yr

Rent (House)

$1,815/wk

Rent (Unit)

$885/wk

Days on Market

25

Vacancy Rate

1.3%

Auction Clearance

75.8%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+7.5%—+33.8%
Unit+5.5%—+23.4%

Rental Yields

House Yield

2.3%

Unit Yield

3.6%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score72/100
Growth Potential78/100
Cashflow Score55/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index45/100

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Manly at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$214,850
First Home Buyer
$214,850
Foreign buyer surcharge
$328,000

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position

Wage offset available until 1 July 2027

An established purchase today falls under the 2026 reforms. From 1 July 2027, losses on established residential property can only offset residential rental income or residential capital gains — not your salary.

Annual rent income
$94,380

$1815/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$213,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$102,500
Net rental position
-$221,320

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$86,315

Reduces taxable income until 1 July 2027

After-tax holding cost
$135,005/yr

~$2,596/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$2.46M

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Annual: $22,260

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $39,060

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 6.8% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), CPI indexation + 30% minimum rate, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$5.69M
Capital gain
$1.35M
Assessable gain
$781,209
CGT payable
$304,672

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$7.89M
Capital gain
$3.55M
Assessable gain
$2.34M
CGT payable
$911,281

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$214,850

After-tax yield

1.40%

Weekly holding cost

$2596/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$911,281

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Local Knowledge Group of Companies provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Local Knowledge Finance (Mortgage Brokerage), and Local Knowledge Property (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

16,500

Median Age

36

Median Income

$88K

per annum

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability90/100
Public Transport78/10
Schools Rating88/10

Premium beach lifestyle with extensive recreational opportunities, quality dining and shopping, and regular cultural events

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 11 April 2026.

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